Sub:- (i)-India finds itself at pre 1947 situation about ‘two nations theory’ in J&K (ii)- Presently it is zero sum game where either India or Pakistan will have to lose the territory with it (iii)- It is ‘advantage Pakistan’ in present face-off (iv)- Martially deficient Hindus can’t retrieve PoJK (v)- If Indian Muslims do not come forward India will lose Muslim Kashmir (including PoJK) (vi)- Stopping ISIS entry in AF-PAK-Kashmir region should also be the objective.
--- The ‘two nations theory’ propounded by the ‘Father of Pakistan’ Jinnah claimed that Hindus and Muslims are two different nations hence can’t live together therefore India was partitioned on the basis of this theory in 1947. Muslim majority J&K and Indian Muslims who preferred to stay with India of-course did not believe in this theory and showed faith in secular ideology which was professed by Indian leaders, who after partition formed government of India (GOI) namely Nehru, Patel Azad etc.
But Hindu majority India has failed to live up-to its promise and secularism has been thoroughly compromised in India. This is evident from the fact that in order to bring it on right track following writ petitions need to be filed in Supreme Court of India (SCI) by some genuinely secular party:-
(i)- About legally expected restoration of Status-quo-ante of Babri Masjid which was demolished in 1992 in the presence of Observer of SCI (ii)- Query about retrieve of PoJK in the interest of removal of AFSPA etc from J&K (unlike Hindu majority Goa the PoJK has not been retrieved by so-called secular India and even Bangladesh was not assimilated in 1971 despite collapse of ‘two nations theory’ because both are Muslim majority) moreover military of Hindu India has not taken PoJK militarily and instead is showing its ‘bravery’ by training guns at the civilians / citizens of India in J&K mainly at Kashmiri Muslims (iii)- About prosecution against guilty found by Sri Krishna Commission about 1992-93 communal riots in Mumbai / Maharashtra (while rightly asking for deportation / action against Dawood Ibrahim etc, the guilty of serial blasts which were direct fallout of said riots) (iv)- About identification, tracking and deportation of illegal immigrants / refugees (including Hindus), mainly from Bangladesh and Pakistan (v)- About quashing of discriminatory (especially against Muslims) Reservation Policy (F)- Delhi 1984 & Gujarat 2002 riots about section 130 & 131 Cr.P.C.
--- [Second writ petitions for retrieve of PoJK can first be filed in J&K High Court. Even if PoJK is to be retrieved militarily one need not worry about nukes with India and Pakistan because after all it is white man’s burden and the last word on India’s partition is yet to be written where Realized SAARC / Common Wealth can also be the preferred political arrangement].
This betrayal of secularism by all the Hindu dominated political parties of India (including BJP, Congress various socialist, communist, caste based, regional parties etc) has brought a situation of ‘advantage Pakistan’ (about J&K) and if some national level genuinely secular political party is not immediately launched by Muslims then only some miracle can avoid separation of Muslim Kashmir including PoJK (if not Hindu Jammu and Ladakh of J&K) from India as explained below:-
(1)- Presently it is zero sum game where either India or Pakistan will have to lose the territory with it. But it is ‘advantage Pakistan’ because Pakistan has to only continue to provide civilian help / assistance / instigation to Kashmiri separatists without physically going in Kashmir. Whereas on the contrary nuclear India will have to go physically in PoJK and will have to carry-out military expedition against nuclear Pakistan in order to retrieve PoJK. This of-course will invite different type of response / opposition from world community against Pakistan and India and which will put India at extremely disadvantageous position because it will be perceived by global community as Hindu aggression against Muslim Pakistan / Kashmir.
(2)- This disadvantageous situation (for India) can be avoided only if some genuinely secular party takes the lead in constraining GOI to retrieve PoJK in order to stop the entry of ISIS in Kashmir (ultimately in AF-PAK region) which is inevitable (as per even Member of Parliament M.H. Baig from J&K) if present unrest in Kashmir [killing ~ 57, injuring ~ seven thousand (including security forces) injuring eyes of ~ 150 by pellet guns and curfew for 50 days] does not lead to ‘permanent solution to Kashmir problem’ (which is nothing but unification of J&K). Moreover after saying in the all party meeting on August, 12 and in Independence Day speech on August, 15 by PM Modi that PoJK will be taken from Pakistan the impatient people of India (through its media) has started asking BJP whether merely by writing letter to Pakistan will PoJK come to India (this jingoistic public mood will constrain PM Modi to be seen and then actually retrieving PoJK otherwise he is bound to lose not only 2019 Parliamentary election but before that many coming elections in various States of India)
(3)- During ‘cold-war’ the fight between USA & USSR generated Jihadi terrorists in Afghanistan & Pakistan. Similarly fight between India & Pakistan is generating Jihadi terrorists in Kashmir. But Kashmiri leadership (not only from economic, social and political fields but also of higher level from religion) is unethically & foolishly making Kashmiri civilians (especially youth) to shed their blood instead of making military of India and Pakistan to do so (which is their duty) for the territory of their respective countries.
(4)- To rectify this unfortunate situation, first of all the alienation of Kashmiris has to be brought to an end. This alienation is evident from the fact (i)- HM Rajnath visited Kashmir twice but even businessman (who prefer peace for doing business) refused to meet him (ii)- Senior leader of ruling party (in J&K) PDP MP Baig said on Thursday during TV interview that BJP-PDP alliance in J&K has not harmed BJP in its base Jammu but has discredited PDP in its base Kashmir and if BJP does not start following ‘common minimum program’ of talking to Pakistan and Kashmiris (including separatists) for Kashmir solution then PDP will break the alliance. But this alienation can be stopped only by genuinely Federal-Secular-Socialist (Joint-capitalism) Party for which arrest of stone-pelters (God only knows why has not been done so far) and lifting of curfew from entire Kashmir is the first step.
(5)- Because for argument sake if Pak does not use its Nukes even then if PoJK is taken militarily by present government of India (perceived to be pro-Hindutva) without such demand from Muslim Kashmir, it will be impossible for GOI to administer Muslim Kashmir and PoJK combined without use of immensely excessive force and which world-community will never allow. Rather world community will ask India (in such case) to forget Muslim Kashmir & PoJK. Here it is in context to mention that the world-community especially powerful Christian West (USA, Europe, Europe origin countries) will assist India in demolishing ‘two nations theory’ only if it helps in eliminating the menace of global Jihadi terrorism (by ISIS etc).
(6)- Indian Muslims will have to take the lead for preparing India for retrieve of PoJK because Hindus are simply incapable of any successful military operation if past experience is any indication, for example - [(i)- By way of adverse possession India has already given better title to Pakistan over J&K as much smaller Pakistan tried to take Kashmir militarily in 1947, 1948, 1965, 1971, during Kargil etc but India never tried (not even once) to take PoJK militarily (ii)- India suffered most humiliating defeat in 1962 war though India could have easily won it by pressing Indian Air Force which at that time (as per Air Force top- brass) was superior to China’s (iii)- Indian Peace Keeping Force was sent in Sri Lanka and then withdrawn irresponsibly and India allowed Sri Lanka to eliminate LTTE which resulted in genocide of Tamils (about which UN HR body is still looking into the matter) (iv)- Of-course India fared excellently in 1971 war for which India is proud of but India should not forget that it was not a conventional war between India and Pakistan rather it was military intervention by India on the side of Bangladesh in a civil war between East (Bangladesh) and West Pakistan].
Therefore Indian Muslims (if they really want to demolish ‘two nations theory’) should take the lead for launching a genuinely secular national political party (taking substantial number of members from Muslim majority J&K) in order to constrain GOI to retrieve PoJK (even militarily if necessary) especially in the interest of stopping the entry of blood-thirsty ISIS in AF-PAK-Kashmir region..
Hem Raj Jain
(Author of ‘Betrayal of Americanism’)