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With Kashmir unrest (likely Indo-Pak war after another strike by Pak) India will blunder if resists Pak remedy of ‘Extended SAARC’

Alwihda Info | Par Hem Raj Jain - 13 Octobre 2016

Bengaluru, India

---- ‘China Pakistan Economic Corridor’ (CPEC) is the cause of much of present tension between nuclear India & Pakistan but fortunately it can also provide solution to most of the problems of Extended SAARC region in which China, Iran and some land-locked Central Asian countries can be members. A parliamentary delegation from Pakistan, which was in New York, pitched this idea of Extended SAARC (ExtSAARC). Though in India there is a tendency to discard ExtSAARC as an attempt by Pakistan to eliminate its isolation inflicted by many SAARC countries which led to an indefinite postponement of the SAARC summit which was to be held in Pakistan in November, 2016. But it will be foolish on the part of India to take this so-called isolation of Pakistan seriously especially in view of some music being played by USA to the gullible ears of India by giving false assurance by US about its support to India against Pakistan especially in matters of terrorism emanation from Pakistan.

India should be wary of US attempts to neglect Kashmir problem. The USA is not trying to understand that this year’s attacks on 2/1 at Pathankot, 25/5 at Pampore, 18/9 at Uri, 3/10 at Baramula, 6/10 at Handwara etc were not on civilians hence not terrorist acts but on military & para-military base / camps / forces hence is a war and can maximum be termed as punishment to defense establishment of so-called secular Hindu majority India (which during last 69 years has not sent military in India’s territory of Muslim PoJK to retrieve it) which has caused gory and chronic Kashmir problem. The USA is expert in always remaining in wrong side about human rights issues in Indo-Pak region. USA sided with Pakistan in 1971 though Pakistan was grossly violating the human rights of Bangladeshis. Now USA is over-looking the human rights violation of Kashmiris and unnecessarily instigating India to neglect Kashmir issue.

Entire India knows that the way jingoism is being promoted by PM Modi and his party BJP & wider ‘Sangh Parivar’, one major attack by Pakistan (which is highly likely whether it will be attack by Jihadis on Indian security forces and their installations or terrorist attack by Jihadis on civilians in J&K or in rest of India) will trigger Indo-Pak war. With China on the side of Pakistan due to CPEC (and USA nowadays allergic to putting its boots-on-ground) India will face humiliating defeat in Indo-Pak war for the simple reason that about half million Indian military is in J&K and Pakistan can easily trap it from three sides and by disrupting road access from fourth side (even with little support from China and major support form Muslims of J&K especially from separatists of Kashmir valley). What an humiliating defeat Indian military will face [due to most of Indian military in J&K (doing law and order civilian job under protection of AFSPA, SPA etc) unable to provide reinforcement at various locations of border and LOC with Pakistan and China] is any body’s guess. Add to this the worst scenario, where the families of security forces in J&K will face hostile Muslims of J&K who will insist on revenge against what is popularly perceived the gross human rights violation by Indian security forces against families of mainly Kashmiri Muslims.

Therefore with China, Iran etc Extended SAARC is in India’s interest. India should understand that present USA is not the USA of yore which believed in Americanism of its founding fathers. Nowadays both friendship and animosity (due to its immense military power) of USA are dangerous. India should also realize that the mischief of Christian world (USA & Allies and Russia as has been done in Ukraine and NAME region especially in Syria) can be countered effectively by Chinese, Hindus and substantial part of Muslim world in ExtSAARC which will constrain UN to remodel it as per the requirement of the contemporary human rights friendly world.

India should also understand that Leaderless SAARC failed because martial deficient India did not solve Kashmir problem by retrieving PoJK hence Pak did not allow SAARC to function, whereas presently assertive and powerful China can easily provide leadership to ExtSAARC. Also with China in ExtSAARC Hindu Muslim tension in Indo-Pak region will come to an end. The jarring note of some member countries of SAARC by raising objection in joining ExtSAARC is not of much importance because presently China is quite capable of roping in SAARC members in ExtSAARC. For ExtSAARC to succeed it should have unitary economic-monetary-military systems with porous borders between ExtSAARC countries (even entire J&K including PoJK can be a member State of ExtSAARC). Even name of ExtSAARC can suitably be changed if felt proper.

India need not be worried about its status in ExtSAARC. Gradually within few years India can be a dominant power in ExtSAARC if adopts (which it can easily do than Chinese and Muslim world of ExtSAARC) the human rights friendly genuinely democratic-secular-Federal-Socialist policies and if recovers (in contrast to ~ $ 4 trillion reserves with China which has made China world power) $ ~ 15 trillion income tax money (out of illegally shown agricultural income), as explained below:-

“[(1)- As far human rights friendly policies, India is yet to give the crucial institutions of health-care and education under the control of the people. Though in first stage it can easily be done regarding health-care institutions by modifying ESI [Where representatives of the contributors (employees and employers of all the sectors) should be there in management in addition to representatives of the government].
(2)- Regarding federalism only martial matters of defense, foreign affairs, national transport (including national railways), communication should be with Union and all civilian matters including natural resources should be with State (State railways should also be with States).
(3)- For democracy two things are to be done:-
(A)- Because democracy requires higher moral of people than of State hence reservation should not be given in the name of Dalits (oppressed, backward etc). Rather reservation only in government services (and not in education, elections etc) can be given to any identifiable group of Indians who think that they will otherwise will not get proportionate representation in government services.
(B)- Election Commission of India should be made legally responsible for ensuring periodic organizational elections of political parties and regular annual return of their audited financial accounts.
(4)- For protecting secularism following writ petitions should be filed in Supreme Court of India (SCI) if GOI does not do it:-
(A)- Legally expected restoration of Status-quo-ante of Babri Masjid which was demolished in 1992 in the presence of Observer of SCI (B)- Delhi 1984 & Gujarat 2002 riots about section 130 & 131 Cr.P.C.
(5)- For protecting socialism which is nothing but joint-capitalism where State-capital should also have sanctity and should be deployed (like private –capital) profitably especially in the interest of eliminating unemployment (for example by constructing residential and commercial building which can be given on rent to be decided by statutory ‘Rent Commission’). But in India (like in USSR which got dismantled as it too squandered State-capital) most of the Public Undertakings have been allowed to run in loss. The worst part of it is that State-capital (out of Tax) to the tune of ~ $ 15 Trillion is not being recovered by GOI. Hence two writ petitions should be filed in SCI about (A)- Constitutional obligation about Public debt under Article 292 & 293 and not under unconstitutional FRBM (B)- Recovery of Rs ~ 1,000 Trillion tax out of black money (declared illegally as agricultural income to avoid tax) which, if recovered, can solve most of the problems being faced by India especially arising due to economic hardship]”.

Therefore India in cooperation especially with China (after referring Indo-China border dispute to settlement through judicial commission because India’s dispute with China is legal in contrast to Indo-Pak dispute which is political) should enthusiastically and actively work for the realization of ExtSAARC.

Hem Raj Jain
(Author of ‘Betrayal of Americanism’)
Bengaluru, India

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